{"id":1470,"date":"2024-01-26T23:42:52","date_gmt":"2024-01-26T23:42:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/roexit.info\/?p=1470"},"modified":"2025-10-21T15:44:52","modified_gmt":"2025-10-21T15:44:52","slug":"nu-il-ascultati-pe-constantinescu-bursa-nu-va-creste-in-2024-opinia-lui-chiazna","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/roexit.info\/?p=1470","title":{"rendered":"Nu \u00eel asculta\u021bi pe Constantinescu, bursa nu va cre\u0219te \u00een 2024! Opinia lui Chiazna"},"content":{"rendered":"

Un articol publicat de G. Chiazna ini\u021bial pe Chiazna.ro<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n

Nu doresc s\u0103 dau sfaturi financiare sau, mai bine zis, nu doresc s\u0103 m\u0103 \u00eenchid\u0103 \u0103\u015ftia c\u0103 dau sfaturi financiare f\u0103r\u0103 s\u0103 am nu \u015ftiu ce patlama de \u015ftiri oficiale.<\/p>\n

Exist\u0103 un nene, Sorin Constantinescu pe Youtube care \u00eendeamn\u0103 lumea s\u0103 cumpere ac\u0163iuni deoarece companiile rom\u00e2ne\u015fti mari nu vor pica niciodat\u0103. Sfaturile lui sunt cumva mainsteam \u015fi ar fi ok \u00eentr-o economie normal\u0103, dar trebuie din nou s\u0103 clarific\u0103m unele aspecte deoarece dl. Constantinescu vorbe\u015fte repede, pe scurt \u015fi incomplet, are o logic\u0103 sumar\u0103 \u015fi o perspectiv\u0103 cvasi-becalist\u0103 asupra afacerilor.<\/p>\n

\u00cen primul r\u00e2nd, dac\u0103 privim la rece, Rom\u00e2nia este vecin\u0103 cu un r\u0103zboi, deci a b\u0103ga banii \u00een Rom\u00e2nia este un risc maxim. Dup\u0103 cum \u015ftim din c\u0103r\u0163ile de finan\u0163e, din educa\u0163ia financiar\u0103 pe care dl. Constantinescu pretinde c\u0103 o are, investi\u0163iile se \u00eempart \u00een grade de risc \u015fi fiecare investitor trebuie s\u0103 aib\u0103 c\u00e2t de c\u00e2t un plan de investi\u0163ii, pe grade de risc, mai tehnic zis, o segmentare. Concret, fiecare trebuie s\u0103 \u015ftie, pe l\u00e2ng\u0103 suma pe care o are de investit, care poate fi predictibil\u0103 sau dinamic\u0103, ce segmentare a riscurilor \u00ee\u015fi alege. Iat\u0103, de exemplu, o schem\u0103 de risc, de bun sim\u0163.<\/p>\n

\"Screenshot-2024-01-25-225457<\/figure>\n

\u00cemp\u0103r\u0163eala acestor segmente de risc depinde, \u00eens\u0103, \u015fi de ce bani ave\u0163i, de obiective, de cuno\u015ftin\u0163e etc. \u00cen general, cei care \u00eentreab\u0103 aiurea pe live-uri \u00eentreb\u0103ri de investi\u0163ii nu \u015ftiu de importan\u0163a acestei \u00eemp\u0103r\u0163eli f\u0103r\u0103 de care exist\u0103 riscul ca toat\u0103 suma investit\u0103 s\u0103 fie pe ro\u015fu \u015fi oamenii s\u0103 r\u0103m\u00e2n\u0103 s\u0103raci, investind chiar banii de care au nevoie.<\/p>\n

Catalogarea riscului de asemenea este o chestiune complicat\u0103 \u00een care mul\u0163i cad \u00een capcana subiectivismului. De exemplu, dl. Constantinescu crede c\u0103 UE e bun\u0103 \u015fi Green Deal e chiar cool \u015fi nu va afecta Transgaz. Hidroelectrica va dudui deoarece investe\u015fte \u00een panouri. Eu, \u00eens\u0103, am v\u0103zut nenum\u0103rate panouri bombardate \u00een Ucraina \u015fi, evident, infrastructura energetic\u0103, prin urmare, v\u0103d cu al\u0163i ochii riscul ac\u0163iunilor companiilor de energie din indicele BET.<\/p>\n

Chiar dac\u0103, teoretic, ac\u0163iunile sunt de risc mediu sau obliga\u0163iunile suverane de risc sc\u0103zut, geografia conteaz\u0103, prin urmare, dat\u0103 fiind situa\u0163ia de la noi, \u015fi ac\u0163iunile \u015fi obliga\u0163iunile eu le-a\u015f cataloga la ro\u015fu, al\u0103turi de 99% dintre investorii din lumea asta, care de aceea pompeaz\u0103 bani \u00een Rom\u00e2nia deoarece trebuie s\u0103 \u00ee\u015fi verse undeva \u015fi felia lor ro\u015fie \u015fi crypto-ul deja e cam la grani\u0163a dintre ro\u015fu \u015fi galben.<\/p>\n

S\u0103 vedem, \u00eens\u0103, unde gre\u015fe\u015fte Constantinescu atunci c\u00e2nd recomand\u0103 bursa rom\u00e2neasc\u0103: de\u015fi, \u00een general, investi\u0163ia \u00een ac\u0163iuni ale unor companii mari e recomandat\u0103 \u015fi, istoric, indicii au adus randamente bune, eu cred c\u0103, dat\u0103 fiind proximitatea r\u0103zboiului, orice investi\u0163ie \u00een Rom\u00e2nia nu mai este pe verde, ci \u00eencepe de la galben, iar bursa rom\u00e2neasc\u0103, dup\u0103 mine, este pe ro\u015fu.<\/p>\n

Dac\u0103 e s\u0103 intr\u0103m mai mult \u00een am\u0103nunte \u015fi \u00een variante de investit, chiar \u015fi leul este cumva pe galben, \u00een sensul c\u0103 pur \u015fi simplu av\u00e2nd investi\u0163ii \u00een lei ri\u015fti ca la prima rachet\u0103 ruseasc\u0103 ce pic\u0103 \u00een Constan\u0163a pe nepreg\u0103tite s\u0103 pierzi 25%.<\/p>\n

Constantinescu se mai laud\u0103 c\u0103 a tot recomandat anul trecut oamenilor s\u0103 investeasc\u0103 la burs\u0103 \u015fi iat\u0103 c\u0103 bursa a crescut. E \u015fi normal c\u0103 pre\u0163ul ac\u0163iunilor pe BVB a crescut dac\u0103 Constantinescu \u015fi al\u0163i 2-3 influenceri recomand\u0103 la sutele de mii de abona\u0163i pe care le au, printre care \u015fi oameni cu bani, dar nu prea mult\u0103 experien\u0163\u0103 financiar\u0103, s-au gr\u0103m\u0103dit s\u0103 \u00eei asculte sfatul. Este un self-fulfillment prophecy \u00een sensul c\u0103, dac\u0103 mul\u0163i influenceri recomand\u0103 investi\u0163ia la burs\u0103, oamenii se gr\u0103m\u0103desc \u015fi pre\u0163urile ac\u0163iunilor cresc. E un fel de pump and dump sau mai bine zis un fenomen de reflexivitate al pie\u0163ei ac\u0163iunilor conform teoriei lui Soros. Chiar dac\u0103 Constantinescu nu a recomandat prea multe companii, simplul fapt c\u0103 a vorbit de \u201cmarile companii energetice rom\u00e2ne\u015fti\u201d deja e cumva un sector destul de generos, deci nu ar fi deloc exclus ca mare parte din cre\u015fterea de anul trecut s\u0103 se datoreze lui Constantinescu.<\/p>\n

Dar nu doar proximitatea r\u0103zboiului este un pericol pentru bursa rom\u00e2neasc\u0103, ci \u015fi al\u0163i factori, printre care alegerile, socialismul, Green Deal etc. Cu privire la randamentul de 30% pe care \u00eel laud\u0103 dl. Constantinescu ca randament bun, ei bine, acesta nu este un randament deloc bun, deoarece Bitcoin a avut 160%. Pot spune c\u0103 eu sunt geniu deoarece am recomandat Bitcoin tot timpul (de ex \u00een 2019<\/a>)? Nu, dar eu m\u0103car explic omului de ce e bine sau nu s\u0103 investeasc\u0103 \u00een ceva \u015fi ce factori influen\u0163eaz\u0103 acel instrument. Ca fapt divers, 30% nu e mare br\u00e2nz\u0103, e plin etoro de\u00a0investitori cu randament peste 30% pe 2023<\/a>\u00a0deoarece \u015fi bursa din afar\u0103 a dus-o bine. Compara\u0163ia cu infla\u0163ia de asemenea nu este relevant\u0103, dac\u0103 dorim doar s\u0103 avem un randament peste infla\u0163ie, ne pierdem timpul aiurea cu investitul, ar fi mult mai simplu s\u0103 l\u0103s\u0103m banii \u00een obliga\u0163iuni.<\/p>\n

Restric\u0163ia de a discuta despre investi\u0163ii \u015fi faptul c\u0103 mai peste tot \u00een lume sunt legi care interzic s\u0103 recomanzi o companie anume au rostul lor, deoarece conteaz\u0103 riscul, conteaz\u0103 perioada, conteaz\u0103 obiectivele fiec\u0103rui investitor \u015fi, prin urmare, o solu\u0163ie care se potrive\u015fte unuia e total gre\u015fit\u0103 altuia. De exemplu, dac\u0103 un milionar ca dl. Constantinescu are deja propriet\u0103\u0163i imobiliare \u00een afar\u0103, are bani \u00een b\u0103nci str\u0103ine \u015fi mai are ceva bani cu care nu \u015ftie ce s\u0103 fac\u0103, e recomandat s\u0103 investeasc\u0103 la bursa noastr\u0103, deoarece totul \u0163ine de acea felie verde-galben-ro\u015fu \u015fi el are suficient pe verde \u015fi pe galben. Dar dac\u0103 cineva are 10.000 de euro de investit \u015fi nimic mai mult, eu \u00een locul lui mi-a\u015f cump\u0103ra Bitcoini \u015fi poate o parte i-a\u015f \u0163ine cash la o banc\u0103 str\u0103in\u0103, deoarece, \u00een caz de r\u0103zboi, dac\u0103 vrei s\u0103 fugi, vei avea nevoie de ei rapid. \u00cen caz de r\u0103zboi, dl. Constantinescu poate renun\u0163a total la investi\u0163ia la burs\u0103, dar omul cu 10.000 de euro, \u00een loc s\u0103 poat\u0103 m\u0103car fugi \u015fi supravie\u0163ui c\u00e2teva luni \u00een afar\u0103, cum poate s\u0103 \u00ee\u015fi trag\u0103 banii de la burs\u0103 care, oricum, peste noapte pot ajunge 5000 euro?<\/p>\n

Chestiunea investi\u0163iilor e complex\u0103 \u015fi, din p\u0103cate, mul\u0163i rom\u00e2ni nu se g\u00e2ndesc la investit. De departe, cea mai mare investi\u0163ie este dob\u00e2ndirea obiceiului de a evita creditul. Orice produs cump\u0103rat pe credit cost\u0103 dublu \u015fi, evident, dac\u0103 te obi\u015fnuie\u015fti s\u0103 cumperi pe credit, cu greu te vei dezobi\u015fnui. Dac\u0103, \u00eens\u0103, vei reu\u015fi, po\u0163i \u00eencepe s\u0103 economise\u015fti \u015fi chiar s\u0103 investe\u015fti. Cine reu\u015fe\u015fte s\u0103 \u00ee\u015fi gestioneze finan\u0163ele f\u0103r\u0103 s\u0103 apeleze la credit va putea spera c\u0103 poate trece \u015fi la nivelul urm\u0103tor, aloc\u00e2nd lunar un procent din venituri c\u0103tre investi\u0163ii.<\/p>\n

O mare problem\u0103 cu investi\u0163iile este c\u0103 sfatul legat de studiu \u015fi documentare este unul total nepractic. Volumul \u015fi ideile sunt at\u00e2t de vaste \u00eenc\u00e2t exist\u0103 riscul ca oamenii s\u0103 r\u0103m\u00e2n\u0103 debusola\u0163i. De aceea se ajunge ca mul\u0163i s\u0103 investeasc\u0103 dup\u0103 ureche \u015fi las\u0103 succesul pe seama norocului. De asemenea, ca orice skill performant, manualul nu prea e suficient s\u0103 facem performan\u0163\u0103, oric\u00e2t de bine ar fi scris: trebuie s\u0103 \u00eenv\u0103\u0163\u0103m fie \u00eencerc\u00e2nd noi multe chestii \u015fi test\u00e2nd pe propria piele, fie uit\u00e2ndu-ne la mae\u015ftrii \u00een domeniu. Personal,\u00a0am cam pierdut<\/a> \u015fi am \u00eenv\u0103\u0163at din gre\u015feli, de\u015fi am \u015fi studiat mult. \u00cenc\u0103 nu pot spune c\u0103 am habar de investi\u0163ii, dar m\u0103car pot s\u0103 v\u0103d clar c\u0103 reocmand\u0103rile d-lui Constantinescu nu sunt bune. Nici nu vreau s\u0103 mai intru \u00een cele cu privire la imobiliarele din Tenerife care de asemenea \u00eemi par un pump&dump.<\/p>\n

\u00cen concluzie, predic\u0163ia mea este nu doar c\u0103 bursa noastr\u0103 va fi pe minus \u00een 2024, dar \u015fi leul este acum extrem de instabil. Prin urmare, hodl!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Un articol publicat de G. Chiazna ini\u021bial pe Chiazna.ro Nu doresc s\u0103 dau sfaturi financiare sau, mai bine zis, nu doresc s\u0103 m\u0103 \u00eenchid\u0103 \u0103\u015ftia c\u0103 dau sfaturi financiare f\u0103r\u0103 s\u0103 am nu \u015ftiu ce patlama de \u015ftiri oficiale. Exist\u0103 un nene, Sorin Constantinescu pe Youtube care \u00eendeamn\u0103 lumea s\u0103 cumpere ac\u0163iuni deoarece companiile rom\u00e2ne\u015fti […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":1471,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[267,32,413,4],"tags":[593,759,758,310,762,754,550,196,312,756,757,417,761,765,764,105,143,760,753,763,755,12],"class_list":["post-1470","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economie","category-opinii","category-pretul-zilei","category-stil_de_viata","tag-bitcoin","tag-bursa-de-valori-bucuresti-bvb","tag-bursa-romaneasca","tag-chiazna-ro","tag-credit","tag-educatie-financiara","tag-george-soros","tag-gigel-chiazna","tag-green-deal","tag-hidroelectrica","tag-indicele-bet","tag-inflatie","tag-investitii","tag-leu-ron","tag-pump-and-dump","tag-razboi-ucraina","tag-romania","tag-socialism","tag-sorin-constantinescu","tag-tenerife","tag-transgaz","tag-ue"],"yoast_head":"\nNu \u00eel asculta\u021bi pe Constantinescu, bursa nu va cre\u0219te \u00een 2024! Opinia lui Chiazna - RoExit<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/roexit.info\/?p=1470\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ro_RO\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Nu \u00eel asculta\u021bi pe Constantinescu, bursa nu va cre\u0219te \u00een 2024! Opinia lui Chiazna - RoExit\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Un articol publicat de G. Chiazna ini\u021bial pe Chiazna.ro Nu doresc s\u0103 dau sfaturi financiare sau, mai bine zis, nu doresc s\u0103 m\u0103 \u00eenchid\u0103 \u0103\u015ftia c\u0103 dau sfaturi financiare f\u0103r\u0103 s\u0103 am nu \u015ftiu ce patlama de \u015ftiri oficiale. 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