{"id":1666,"date":"2024-02-25T20:06:23","date_gmt":"2024-02-25T20:06:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/roexit.info\/?p=1666"},"modified":"2025-10-21T15:45:55","modified_gmt":"2025-10-21T15:45:55","slug":"colapsul-frontului-din-ucraina-opinia-lui-chiazna","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/roexit.info\/?p=1666","title":{"rendered":"Colapsul frontului din Ucraina. Opinia lui Chiazna"},"content":{"rendered":"

Un articol publicat de G. Chiazna ini\u021bial pe Chiazna.ro<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n

Este evident colapsul frontului din Ucraina, a\u0219a cum este evident c\u0103 Ucraina va lua b\u0103taie, a\u0219a cum a fost de la \u00eenceputul r\u0103zboiului, a\u0219a cum aici, pe blog<\/a>, am zis acum doi ani de zile<\/p>\n

Dar care s\u0103 fie graba? De ce credem noi c\u0103 un r\u0103zboi bli\u021b ar fi OK pentru ru\u0219i? C\u0103 ar da bine, c\u0103 ar face impresie? Dar asta e pentru gloate \u2026 argumentele militare \u0219i geopolitice nu argumenteaz\u0103 deloc necesitatea unui r\u0103zboi bli\u021b. Da, s\u0103 zicem c\u0103 Ucraina o s\u0103 primeasc\u0103 ajutoare, dar deja ei au primit ajutoare ani de zile. O s\u0103 primeasc\u0103 \u0219i sisteme antirachet\u0103? O s\u0103 primeasc\u0103 \u0219i solda\u021bi? Ru\u0219ii \u00eenc\u0103 au mult fire-power \u00eenc\u0103 nefolosit \u0219i cumva nu prea am v\u0103zut b\u0103t\u0103lii reale. Faptul c\u0103 un MIG mai arunc\u0103 din c\u00e2nd \u00een c\u00e2nd c\u00e2te-o rachet\u0103 \u00een vreun bloc \u2013 asta nu e r\u0103zboi, evreii fac zilnic asta cu palestinienii.<\/em><\/p>\n

A\u0219a cum SUA & Arabia Saudit\u0103 duc un r\u0103zboi de durat\u0103 \u00een Yemen \u0219i bombardeaz\u0103 aerian, deoarece nu vor s\u0103 aib\u0103 pierderi umane, probabil la fel \u0219i \u00een Ucraina ru\u0219ii folosesc o strategie \u00een primul r\u00e2nd prudent\u0103 \u0219i, apoi, \u00ee\u0219i rezerv\u0103 timp pentru preg\u0103tiri. Ne am\u0103gim dac\u0103 credem c\u0103 \u0219i Ucraina are timp s\u0103 se preg\u0103teasc\u0103 mai bine \u2013 a avut deja suficient timp!<\/em><\/p>\n

S-AU BLOCAT RU\u0218II?<\/a>\u00a0\u2013 27 FEB 2022<\/cite><\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Dac\u0103 s\u0103 zicem c\u0103 Avdiivka a fost o situa\u0163ie particular\u0103, \u00een sensul c\u0103 a picat deoarece ru\u0219ii s-au ambi\u021bionat ca la Bahmut, pe celelalte sectoare ale fronturilor cum se poate explica avansul pas cu pas al ru\u0219ilor? De exemplu, Robotine \u00een sud, la Zaporojia care e cumva o zon\u0103 hot de interes pentru noi, deoarece exist\u0103 posibilitatea ca dup\u0103 Robotine s\u0103 pice Orihiv \u015fi apoi Zaporojia. Apoi urmeaz\u0103 Nikopol, Mikolaiev \u0219i Odesa.<\/p>\n

Ne-am obi\u0219nuit s\u0103 \u00eei vedem pe ucraineni ca aproape egali ai ru\u0219ilor, doar dac\u0103 ar mai avea ni\u0219te arme din vest. Ne-am obi\u0219nuit cu Bahmut care a durat ceva timp, dup\u0103 ce \u0219i rezisten\u021ba de la Mariupol durase chiar mai mult. Avdiivka \u00eens\u0103 nimeni nu se a\u0219tepta s\u0103 cad\u0103. Ba, mai mult, iexper\u0163ii<\/em> militari cita\u0163i de Digi24 prevedeau pe 14 OCT 2023, c\u00e2nd orice prost putea vedea c\u0103 Avdiivka va pica, c\u0103, nici mai mult nici mai pu\u0163in, Putin va fi nevoit s\u0103 dea jos generalul care \u00ee\u0219i trimite aici solda\u021bii s\u0103 moar\u0103 ca toca\u021bi cu ma\u0219ina de carne.<\/p>\n

\"Screenshot-2024-02-25-203315
Sursa:\u00a0Digi24.ro<\/a>\u00a0\u2013 14 OCT 2023<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Ce s\u0103 mai zicem de alte \u0219tiri oficiale care profe\u021beau ditamai reu\u0219it\u0103 pentru ucraineni \u00een aceast\u0103 iarn\u0103! De ce tocmai iarna asta urma ca ucrainenii s\u0103 fac\u0103 mare br\u00e2nz\u0103 nu am \u00een\u021beles din articol.<\/p>\n

\"Screenshot-2024-02-25-203637
Sursa:\u00a0HotNews.ro<\/a>\u00a0\u2013 22 SEP 2023<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Aici pe blog<\/a> \u00een OCT 2023 prevedeam c\u0103 fie iarna, fie prim\u0103vara, Avdiivka ca pica \u0219i linia frontului va fi mutat\u0103 cu 50 km. Ce nu am prev\u0103zut este c\u0103 luptele se vor da iarna deoarece a fost din nou o iarn\u0103 bl\u00e2nd\u0103. Ce am f\u0103cut eu nu era o predic\u021bie greu de f\u0103cut, dar \u0219tirile oficiale MINT cu neru\u0219inare. Orice spun trusturile mainstream<\/em> este minciun\u0103.<\/p>\n

V\u0103 reamintesc c\u0103 Avdiivka este o redut\u0103 fortificat\u0103 dinainte de r\u0103zboi deoarece este ca o cetate natural\u0103, fiind greu de cucerit. Ru\u0219ii o \u00eenconjoar\u0103 \u0219i \u00eei atac\u0103 pe ucraineni din toate p\u0103r\u021bile. Dac\u0103 pic\u0103, ru\u0219ii mai mut\u0103 linia frontului cu vreo 50 km cel pu\u021bin \u0219i stabilizeaz\u0103 ditamai teritoriul \u00eemprejur.<\/em><\/p>\n

Dac\u0103 termin\u0103 p\u00e2n\u0103 vine iarna e foarte bine, dac\u0103 nu, toate pierderile sunt \u00een van \u0219i trebuie s\u0103 a\u0219tepte p\u00e2n\u0103 la prim\u0103var\u0103. \u00cen rest, deocamdat\u0103, ru\u0219ii nu au mai bombardat obiective energetice, semn fie c\u0103 nu mai au cu ce, fie c\u0103 schimb\u0103 tactica.<\/em><\/p>\n

Sursa:\u00a0ACTUALIT\u0102\u0162I DIN UCRAINA<\/a>\u00a0\u2013 26 OCT 2023<\/cite><\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Colapsul frontului este consecin\u021ba fireasc\u0103 a realit\u0103\u021bilor materiale legate de r\u0103zboi: Ucraina are \u0219i popula\u021bie mai pu\u021bin\u0103 \u0219i economie mai slab\u0103 \u0219i dot\u0103ri militare mai slabe \u0219i alia\u021bi mai slabi comparativ cu Rusia. Ucraina are ca alia\u021bi SUA \u0219i UE, Rusia are China, India \u0219i Iranul. Ca popula\u021bie, sau ca PIB, alia\u021bii Rusiei sunt cu mult peste alia\u021bii Ucrainei. Ca resurse energetice, nu exist\u0103 compara\u021bie. Doar la motiva\u021bie stau cam pe acela\u0219i plan cele dou\u0103 armate.<\/p>\n

Este evident c\u0103, \u00een toate aceste lupte eroice de rezisten\u021b\u0103 ale ucrainenilor, s-a pierdut os\u00e2nza armatei. De partea rus\u0103 nu putem spune acela\u0219i lucru deoarece, ca num\u0103r, ru\u0219ii sunt de cel pu\u021bin 3 ori mai mul\u021bi. Nu de acum, ci de la \u00eenceputul r\u0103zboiului, aerian, Ucraina nu prea mai are for\u021be deoarece ru\u0219ii le-au eliminat rapid. Aerian Rusia avea dinainte de r\u0103zboi de peste 10 ori mai mult pe orice tip de arm\u0103. Chiar dac\u0103 periodic ucrainenii se laud\u0103 c\u0103 au mai dat jos cu un avion, \u00een ecua\u021bia general\u0103, un avion din cele 4255 nu prea conteaz\u0103.<\/p>\n

C\u00e2nd \u0219i unde se vor opri ru\u0219ii? Acest r\u0103spuns este strict legat de balan\u0163a de putere<\/a> despre care am tratat pe larg \u00een 2 articole. Pe scurt, ru\u0219ii se vor opri atunci \u0219i acolo unde ecua\u021bia cost-beneficiu va fi \u00een balan\u021b\u0103.<\/strong> Pentru a \u00een\u021belege ce anume este beneficiu pentru ru\u0219i, trebuie s\u0103 apel\u0103m la interviul recent al lui Putin cu Tucker<\/a> unde acesta a reiterat: f\u0103r\u0103 NATO, f\u0103r\u0103 UE (de\u0219i asta pot s\u0103 o cedeze), denazificare<\/em> (f\u0103r\u0103 armat\u0103, introdus \u00een lege interzicerea simbolurilor naziste, printre care \u0219i Bandera). Practic, ucrainenii trebuie s\u0103 fac\u0103 ce am f\u0103cut noi cu legionarii \u0219i cu Antonescu: s\u0103 \u00ee\u0219i arunce istoria la gunoi, de bun\u0103voie. De data asta, nu \u00eempin\u0219i de cei care ne-au \u00eempins pe noi, ci de ru\u015fi. Evident, dac\u0103 ucrainenii ob\u021bin de la extratere\u0219tri nave spa\u021biale foarte puternice cu care vor da lovituri nasoale ru\u0219ilor, ecua\u021bia se poate schimba. Cu privire la F-uri, indiferent de num\u0103r, fie el chiar \u0219i p\u00e2n\u0103 la 35, vor primi maxim 2-3 ca \u0219i Leopardurile, dar nu au ce s\u0103 fac\u0103 cu ele deoarece nu \u0219tiu s\u0103 le foloseasc\u0103 \u0219i au insuficiente. Orice arm\u0103 puternic\u0103 este puternic\u0103 dac\u0103 e folosit\u0103 la capacitate maxim\u0103, pentru abilit\u0103\u021bile speciale pe care le are. Care abilit\u0103\u021bi, ca s\u0103 fie dob\u00e2ndite, necesit\u0103 preg\u0103tire ani de zile.<\/p>\n

A\u015f dori \u00een final s\u0103 combat ideea vehiculat\u0103 de profilerul<\/a> kabalist – pentru cine nu \u0219tie despre cine e vorba, nu conteaz\u0103. Anume, c\u0103 e nevoie de o schimbare sistemic\u0103 fie de o parte, fie de alta ca condi\u021bie pentru terminarea r\u0103zboiului. Nu sunt de acord. O schimbare sistemic\u0103 poate termina r\u0103zboiul sau nu. Venirea bol\u0219evicilor la putere \u00een 1918 a adus chiar o agresivitate sporit\u0103 militar\u0103, care a dus \u00een cele din urm\u0103 la victoria ru\u0219ilor. Cum po\u021bi s\u0103 spui, av\u00e2nd ditamai datapoint-uri \u00een istorie, ca m\u0103c\u0103nitor pl\u0103tit pentru m\u0103c\u0103neli, c\u0103 dac\u0103 se schimb\u0103 puterea la ru\u0219i, se poate termina r\u0103zboiul? Sunt specula\u021bii \u0219i gogo\u0219i f\u0103r\u0103 nicio baz\u0103 pe realitate.<\/p>\n

Realitatea curent\u0103 este c\u0103 Putin e solid. Specula\u021bia mea e c\u0103 Deep State Rusia \u00eel va m\u0103tr\u0103\u0219i pe Putin deoarece e prea bl\u00e2nd. Deep State Rusia vrea r\u0103zboi dincolo de Ucraina, vrea \u0219i mai multe teritorii, sunt efectiv nebuni. Nu putem concepe c\u0103 ru\u015fii \u00eenc\u0103 viseaz\u0103 s\u0103 cucereasc\u0103 toat\u0103 Europa dar, dac\u0103 ne g\u00e2ndim, la ce vedem acum \u00een r\u0103zboi, dac\u0103 reu\u0219eau s\u0103 \u00eei atrag\u0103 pe ucraineni \u0219i porneau \u00eempreun\u0103 peste europeni, crede\u021bi c\u0103 aveau probleme s\u0103 ajung\u0103 la ocean? Chiar cu nuclearele\u2026 V-a\u0219 mai aduce \u0219i ni\u0219te referin\u021be la p\u0103rerile mele despre nucleare, dar nu v\u0103 mai plictisesc.<\/p>\n

Ideile de \u0219oc sistemic sunt specula\u021bii jurnalistice fantasmagorice f\u0103r\u0103 nici o leg\u0103tur\u0103 cu geopolitica \u0219i real-politicul zilei \u00een care Putin va fi reales probabil, UE va continua pe ajutorarea firav\u0103 a Ucrainei, SUA are mai mult\u0103 dragoste pentru Israel \u0219i, o dat\u0103 cu Trump, focusul va fi complet pe Iran. De unde, ce s\u0103 \u00een\u021belegem noi? C\u0103 ru\u0219ii vor avansa masiv, p\u00e2n\u0103 aproape de noi, c\u0103 poate vor ocupa toat\u0103 Ucraina, c\u0103 poate vor schimba \u0219i conducerea la Chi\u015fin\u0103u \u0219i c\u0103, poate, a\u0219a cum vedem c\u0103 avioanele NATO au \u00eenceput s\u0103 fug\u0103 dup\u0103 ce dronele \u00eencep s\u0103 pice, vom vedea \u0219i Deveselu dezasamblat \u0219i americanii retr\u0103g\u00e2ndu-se prin alte locuri. Iat\u0103 un scenariu pozitiv, despre \u0103la negativ \u00een care vine Geoan\u0103 \u0219i ne pune s\u0103 atac\u0103m ru\u0219ii ca tembelii, prin ma\u0219ina\u021biunile din Republica Moldova, am mai tratat.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Un articol publicat de G. Chiazna ini\u021bial pe Chiazna.ro Este evident colapsul frontului din Ucraina, a\u0219a cum este evident c\u0103 Ucraina va lua b\u0103taie, a\u0219a cum a fost de la \u00eenceputul r\u0103zboiului, a\u0219a cum aici, pe blog, am zis acum doi ani de zile Dar care s\u0103 fie graba? De ce credem noi c\u0103 un […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":1671,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[270,32,4],"tags":[1316,310,677,127,1323,1116,1321,549,196,683,427,937,1328,1320,1326,248,627,1325,21,218,779,598,1322,609,105,125,1324,1317,1331,1329,1244,1308,102,1301,174,104,12,214,834,1319],"class_list":["post-1666","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-externe","category-opinii","category-stil_de_viata","tag-blitzkrieg","tag-chiazna-ro","tag-china","tag-chisinau","tag-deductii-logice","tag-deep-state-rusesc","tag-digi-24","tag-donald-trump","tag-gigel-chiazna","tag-india","tag-iran","tag-israel","tag-maresalul-ion-antonescu","tag-mariupol","tag-matematica-razboiului","tag-minciuna-ca-politica-de-stat","tag-mircea-geoana","tag-motivatie","tag-nato","tag-odesa","tag-palestina","tag-pib","tag-predictii-de-bun-simt","tag-propaganda-oficiala","tag-razboi-ucraina","tag-republica-moldova","tag-resurse-energetice","tag-rusia","tag-scutul-anti-racheta-de-la-deveselu","tag-soc-sistemic","tag-stepan-bandera","tag-stiri-oficiale","tag-sua","tag-tancuri-leopard","tag-tucker-carlson","tag-ucraina","tag-ue","tag-vladimir-putin","tag-yemen","tag-zaporojia"],"yoast_head":"\nColapsul frontului din Ucraina. Opinia lui Chiazna - RoExit<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/roexit.info\/?p=1666\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ro_RO\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Colapsul frontului din Ucraina. Opinia lui Chiazna - RoExit\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Un articol publicat de G. Chiazna ini\u021bial pe Chiazna.ro Este evident colapsul frontului din Ucraina, a\u0219a cum este evident c\u0103 Ucraina va lua b\u0103taie, a\u0219a cum a fost de la \u00eenceputul r\u0103zboiului, a\u0219a cum aici, pe blog, am zis acum doi ani de zile Dar care s\u0103 fie graba? 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