{"id":2054,"date":"2024-04-11T16:16:20","date_gmt":"2024-04-11T16:16:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/roexit.info\/?p=2054"},"modified":"2025-10-21T15:48:06","modified_gmt":"2025-10-21T15:48:06","slug":"picatura-de-finante-datoria-suverana-si-dobanzile-opinia-lui-chiazna","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/roexit.info\/?p=2054","title":{"rendered":"Pic\u0103tura de finan\u021be: datoria suveran\u0103 \u0219i dob\u00e2nzile. Opinia lui Chiazna"},"content":{"rendered":"

Un articol publicat de G. Chiazna ini\u021bial pe chiazna.ro<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n

Se pune urm\u0103toarea \u00eentrebare: cum poate sc\u0103pa Rom\u00e2nia de infla\u0163ie? Singurul instrument care de-a lungul anilor a oferit o calmare a infla\u0163iei a fost instrumentul dob\u00e2nzilor. Dac\u0103 Banca Na\u0163ional\u0103 m\u0103re\u015fte dob\u00e2nda de referin\u0163\u0103 \u015fi creditarea devine dificil\u0103, efectul asupra banilor este ca s\u0103 fie atra\u015fi \u00een depozite \u015fi s\u0103 fie p\u0103stra\u0163i acolo pentru a c\u00e2\u015ftiga dob\u00e2nzile mari oferite de Banca Na\u0163ional\u0103. Astfel, banii care ies de pe pia\u0163\u0103 fac ca consumul s\u0103 scad\u0103 \u015fi \u00een fa\u0163a sc\u0103derii consumului, teoretic pia\u0163a e nevoit\u0103 s\u0103 scad\u0103 pre\u0163urile pentru ca oamenii s\u0103 fie atra\u015fi s\u0103 reia consumul \u015fi s\u0103 cumpere. Este cumva b\u0103t\u0103lie \u00eentre pia\u0163\u0103, care atrage banii clien\u0163ilor \u015fi \u00ee\u015fi permite s\u0103 m\u0103reasc\u0103 pre\u0163urile deoarece de\u0163in\u0103torii banilor nu sunt interesa\u0163i de dob\u00e2nzi, \u015fi b\u0103nci, care prin dob\u00e2nzi vor \u015fi ele s\u0103 atrag\u0103 banii.<\/p>\n

Mecanismul este unul simplist explicat \u015fi oarecum ar func\u0163iona \u00eentr-o economie de pia\u0163\u0103. Ceea ce Rom\u00e2nia nu are. Rom\u00e2nia are un simulacru de pia\u0163\u0103 \u015fi infla\u0163ia este \u00een parte datorat\u0103 tip\u0103ririi de bani \u00een mas\u0103 de c\u0103tre BNR. Evident, BNR este mufat\u0103 la politica monetar\u0103 european\u0103 deoarece, dup\u0103 cum \u015ftim, Is\u0103rescu \u015fi-a asumat acel \u201ccoridor\u201d de fluctua\u0163ie a cursului din care nu va ie\u015fi deoarece, dac\u0103 iese, prime\u015fte o nuia pe spinare de la st\u0103p\u00e2ni deoarece europenii nu mai pot s\u0103 \u00ee\u015fi scoat\u0103 profiturile \u00een afar\u0103.<\/p>\n

Trec\u00e2nd repede la pic\u0103tura de finan\u0163e, cum statul nu are \u00eencas\u0103ri \u015fi are cheltuieli din ce \u00een ce mai mari din cauza destr\u0103b\u0103l\u0103rii bine \u015ftiute, datoria suveran\u0103 cre\u015fte. Cum str\u0103inii nu prea au \u00eencredere s\u0103 ne dea credite de\u015fi oferim randamente maxime (comparat cu alte \u0163\u0103ri din UE) \u015fi \u201ccoridor\u201d garantat care ofer\u0103 de facto o garan\u0163ie c\u0103 cursul nu va pica brusc peste noapte \u015fi nu va anula aceste randamente, mare parte din datoria emis\u0103 de guvern mai recent e distribuit\u0103 c\u0103tre fraierii din interiorul \u0163\u0103rii, c\u0103tre bugetarii mai lumina\u0163i care habar nu au de investi\u0163ii de\u015fi au salarii mai mari ca patronii din privat \u015fi care au auzit \u015fi ei de la \u201cconsultan\u0163i\u201d c\u0103 bonurile de trezorerie ofer\u0103 randamente mai mari \u015fi mai sigure, de c\u0103tre b\u0103ncile care de mult timp au trecut peste expunerea maxim\u0103 de bun sim\u0163 de de\u0163inere a bondurilor suverane \u015fi mai ales de fondurile de pensii care, de asemenea, sunt strict legate de datoria suveran\u0103 \u015fi vor pica \u00eempreun\u0103 cu ea.<\/p>\n

Deci, dac\u0103 BNR va fi nevoit\u0103 s\u0103 m\u0103reasc\u0103 dob\u00e2nzile – \u015fi, probabil, dup\u0103 alegeri nu va avea \u00eencotro- , ce efect are asta asupra datoriei suverane care este direct legat\u0103 de dob\u00e2nda de referin\u0163\u0103, \u00een sensul c\u0103 pentru a emite bonduri \u015fi a avea desfacere, statul trebuie s\u0103 ofere dob\u00e2nzi mai mari dec\u00e2t cele oferite de b\u0103nci? Efectul va fi cre\u015fterea poverii fiscale care, chiar dac\u0103 acum este una grea, e posibil s\u0103 devin\u0103 de dou\u0103 ori mai grea dac\u0103, \u00een loc de 7%, va trece la 15% ca la turci. Care mai apoi au trecut la 50%, dar despre asemenea co\u015fmaruri nu doresc s\u0103 v\u0103 mai sperii \u00een pic\u0103tura curent\u0103.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Un articol publicat de G. Chiazna ini\u021bial pe chiazna.ro Se pune urm\u0103toarea \u00eentrebare: cum poate sc\u0103pa Rom\u00e2nia de infla\u0163ie? Singurul instrument care de-a lungul anilor a oferit o calmare a infla\u0163iei a fost instrumentul dob\u00e2nzilor. Dac\u0103 Banca Na\u0163ional\u0103 m\u0103re\u015fte dob\u00e2nda de referin\u0163\u0103 \u015fi creditarea devine dificil\u0103, efectul asupra banilor este ca s\u0103 fie atra\u015fi \u00een […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":2055,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[267,32,4],"tags":[987,1983,1984,310,1980,1110,859,1979,1978,1977,1109,1982,1138,1985,196,417,986,143,1981,862,1986],"class_list":["post-2054","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economie","category-opinii","category-stil_de_viata","tag-bnr","tag-bonduri-suverane","tag-bonuri-de-trezorerie","tag-chiazna-ro","tag-consum","tag-credite","tag-datoria-suverana","tag-depozit-bancar","tag-dobanda-de-referinta","tag-dobanzi","tag-economie-de-piata","tag-externalizarea-profiturilor-de-catre-firmele-occidentale","tag-finante","tag-fondurile-de-pensii","tag-gigel-chiazna","tag-inflatie","tag-mugur-isarescu","tag-romania","tag-scaderea-preturilor","tag-tiparirea-de-bani","tag-trezoreria-romana"],"yoast_head":"\nPic\u0103tura de finan\u021be: datoria suveran\u0103 \u0219i dob\u00e2nzile. Opinia lui Chiazna - RoExit<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/roexit.info\/?p=2054\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ro_RO\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Pic\u0103tura de finan\u021be: datoria suveran\u0103 \u0219i dob\u00e2nzile. Opinia lui Chiazna - RoExit\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Un articol publicat de G. Chiazna ini\u021bial pe chiazna.ro Se pune urm\u0103toarea \u00eentrebare: cum poate sc\u0103pa Rom\u00e2nia de infla\u0163ie? Singurul instrument care de-a lungul anilor a oferit o calmare a infla\u0163iei a fost instrumentul dob\u00e2nzilor. 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