{"id":2137,"date":"2024-04-24T18:14:32","date_gmt":"2024-04-24T18:14:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/roexit.info\/?p=2137"},"modified":"2025-10-21T15:48:49","modified_gmt":"2025-10-21T15:48:49","slug":"o-situatie-de-saizeci-de-miliarde-de-ori-mai-complicata-opinia-lui-dan-diaconu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/roexit.info\/?p=2137","title":{"rendered":"O situa\u021bie de \u0219aizeci de miliarde de ori mai complicat\u0103. Opinia lui Dan Diaconu"},"content":{"rendered":"

Un articol publicat de Dan Diaconu ini\u021bial pe trenduri.blogspot.com<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n

Pachetul de ajutorare a Ucrainei este doar un preambul. Cu toate c\u0103 e sup\u0103r\u0103tor, v\u0103 voi repeta faptul c\u0103 actualul conflict este unul existen\u021bial pentru cel pu\u021bin o putere mondial\u0103. La ora actual\u0103 avem trei puteri mondiale: SUA – liderul actual-, China – liderul \u00een ascensiune – \u0219i Rusia – putere a trecutului cu capacit\u0103\u021bi suficiente pentru a r\u0103m\u00e2ne putere a momentului.<\/div>\n

Ucraina nu \u00eenseamn\u0103 Ucraina, ci v\u00e2rful de lance a unei arme a c\u0103rei construc\u021bie a \u00eenceput imediat dup\u0103 c\u0103derea comunismului. \u00cenainte de Ucraina a fost Germania de Est, apoi Cehia, Ungaria, Polonia, apoi Albania, Bulgaria, Estonia, Letonia, Lituania, Macedonia de Nord, Rom\u00e2nia, Slovacia, Slovenia \u0219.a.m.d. Toate aceste extinderi s-au constituit \u00eentr-o arm\u0103 coerent\u0103 \u00eendreptat\u0103 \u00eempotriva Rusiei. Dac\u0103 mai \u021bine\u021bi minte, prima extindere a NATO a fost cerut\u0103 de \u021b\u0103rile din \u201eprimul val\u201d ca efect al Primului R\u0103zboi din Cecenia. Nu vi se pare c\u0103 rimeaz\u0103 teribil cu actuala extindere a NATO \u00een Suedia \u0219i Finlanda? Desigur. Iar planul este unul aproape identic cu Anaconda.<\/p>\n

Doar c\u0103 nici pozi\u021bia SUA de acum nu mai e similar\u0103 celei de atunci \u0219i nici alia\u021bii nu mai sunt aceia\u0219i. Atunci SUA \u00ee\u0219i atr\u0103sese China de partea sa pentru a \u00eenvinge URSS. Acum China e de partea Rusiei. De asemenea, atunci SUA erau o putere economic\u0103 \u00eenc\u0103 dominant\u0103. Acum SUA nu mai e o putere economic\u0103. Deci?<\/p>\n

Cu toate c\u0103 treburile par simple, ele sunt extrem de complicate. Pierderea Ucrainei a fost de la bun \u00eenceput o chestiune inacceptabil\u0103 pentru Rusia. Dar \u0219i o sc\u0103pare extrem de penibil\u0103 a politicii lor externe. Revolu\u021bia portocalie a fost o chestiune impardonabil\u0103 \u00een care\u00a0\u00eenc\u0103 nu \u0219tim vectorii subterani<\/b>. Desigur, \u0219tim toate mi\u0219c\u0103rile f\u0103cute de Nuland, dar nu cunoa\u0219tem dedesubturile acelor mi\u0219c\u0103ri. Cum de-a putut Nuland s\u0103 se mi\u0219te liber\u0103 acolo? Cum de au ap\u0103rut ca ciupercile dup\u0103 ploaie organiza\u021biile sorosiste? \u0218i, desigur, multe alte elemente \u00eentre care vizitele diver\u0219ilor oficiali americani dup\u0103 1990. \u00cen ciuda faptului c\u0103 Ucraina era ancorat\u0103 la Rusia, acele vizite au un aspect destul de ciudat \u0219i arat\u0103 mult mai dubios acum, c\u00e2nd vedem la ce au condus. E improbabil ca ru\u0219ii s\u0103 nu fi \u0219tiut \u0219i la fel de improbabil e ca ei s\u0103 nu fi reac\u021bionat. De reac\u021bionat nu au reac\u021bionat, s-a v\u0103zut. Dar de ce? Ei bine, asta e foarte dubios!<\/p>\n

Nu o s\u0103 intru pe t\u0103r\u00e2mul controverselor, astfel \u00eenc\u00e2t prefer s\u0103 lucrez cu materialul brut, cunoscut de toat\u0103 lumea. Estul Europei – ne spune teoria – este cheia controlului Heartland-ului, iar controlul Heartland-ului este cheia controlului Insulei Lumii. A\u0219adar, prin prisma teoriei, atunci c\u00e2nd era puternic\u0103, SUA de fapt doar amenin\u021ba lumea. F\u0103cea ce dorea, asemeni lui Baiazid care cucerea \u00een st\u00e2nga \u0219i-n dreapta, dar nu reu\u0219ea s\u0103 cucereasc\u0103 Constantinopolul. C\u00e2nd a bombardat absolut aberant Iugoslavia, SUA nu a f\u0103cut-o ca efect al problemelor de acolo, probleme pe care spionajul lor le generase, ci pentru a ar\u0103ta tuturor c\u0103 are inten\u021bia s\u0103-\u0219i adjudece Estul Europei. Prima extindere a NATO a fost mai mic\u0103 deoarece strategii au considerat c\u0103 o extindere masiv\u0103 ar putea genera reac\u021bii nedorite. A doua extindere a fost mai mare pentru c\u0103 se considera c\u0103 Rusia nu poate s\u0103 reac\u021bioneze. Valurile NATO au fost atent calculate, semn c\u0103 teoria Anacondei n-a fost nici o clip\u0103 abandonat\u0103. URSS, ascult\u00e2nd c\u00e2ntecul de siren\u0103 al SUA, nu a f\u0103cut altceva dec\u00e2t s\u0103-\u0219i ia \u021beapa vie\u021bii sale. Iat\u0103 de ce a murit.<\/p>\n

Continuatorul de facto al URSS, Federa\u021bia Rus\u0103, a \u00een\u021beles prin intermediul lui Putin care-i jocul. \u00cen timp ce \u00eenc\u0103 la butoane se afla El\u021b\u00een, Putin – din pozi\u021bia de premier – a consolidat serviciile secrete \u0219i armata. Totul \u00eentr-un mod extrem de discret. Apoi a fixat anumite limite economice. Cedarea puterii lui Putin s-a f\u0103cut \u00eentr-un moment critic, \u00een care Mihail Hodorkovski se preg\u0103tise s\u0103 \u201eexternalizeze\u201d cea mai mare parte a averii Rusiei, concernul Yukos. Cei care nu \u0219tiu care-a fost treaba cu Hodorkovski, trebuie s\u0103 afle c\u0103 dac\u0103 acesta ar fi reu\u0219it s\u0103 v\u00e2nd\u0103 Yukos, a\u0219a cum fusese pl\u0103nuit, acum Federa\u021bia Rus\u0103 n-ar mai fi existat. Poate am fi avut de-a face maxim cu un stat rus limitat la zona european\u0103 \u0219i cam at\u00e2t. A\u0219adar, ceea ce i s-a \u00eent\u00e2mplat lui Hodorkovski a fost prima linie ro\u0219ie trasat\u0103 de Putin. De-atunci, Putin a reu\u0219it s\u0103 trag\u0103 mai multe linii ro\u0219ii, ultima dintre acestea fiind Ucraina. De ce Ucraina? Pentru c\u0103 Ucraina e Rusia din orice punct de vedere ai lua-o! Ucraina este nu doar parte a hinterlandului rus, ci ultima redut\u0103 a estului european. A\u0219adar, luarea Ucrainei echivaleaz\u0103 cu un mat dat Rusiei.<\/p>\n

Dac\u0103 privim obiectiv situa\u021bia vom constata cum, \u00een mai multe r\u00e2nduri, Rusia a cerut o remiz\u0103. Inclusiv Ucraina a fost negociat\u0103 ca o remiz\u0103 acceptabil\u0103 de ambele p\u0103r\u021bi. Asta prin negocierea neutralit\u0103\u021bii sale absolute. O Ucrain\u0103 neutr\u0103 ar fi putut s\u0103 salveze aparen\u021bele. Ce \u00eensemna neutralitatea? Un baleiaj de putere \u00eentre unii \u0219i ceilal\u021bi. A fost Kucima, apoi Iu\u0219cenko (pro Vest), apoi Ianukovici (pro Est). Lovitura de stat prin care a fost eliminat Ianukovici a fost prima \u00eenc\u0103lcare a acordului de neutralitate al Ucrainei. Apoi, r\u00e2nd pe r\u00e2nd, au venit altele, culmin\u00e2nd cu impunerea la putere a t\u00e2rliciului actual, un actor deviant care e incapabil s\u0103 \u00een\u021beleag\u0103 faptul c\u0103 via\u021ba real\u0103 nu e film. Culmea, individul e at\u00e2t de idiot \u00eenc\u00e2t a reu\u0219it s\u0103-\u0219i enerveze inclusiv st\u0103p\u00e2nii deoarece bag\u0103 prea ad\u00e2nc m\u00e2na \u00een banii sosi\u021bi ca ajutoare, confund\u00e2ndu-i cu indemniza\u021bia pentru presta\u021bia artistic\u0103.<\/p>\n

Ultimele tentative de normalizare a situa\u021biei dinspre Rusia au fost Acordurile de la Minsk, c\u0103lcate \u00een picioare de puterea de la Kiev. \u0218i a\u0219a a \u00eenceput conflictul. Am f\u0103cut o istorie pu\u021bin mai mare pentru a \u00een\u021belege exact configura\u021bia \u0219i detaliile ini\u021biale. De aceea, ceea ce trebuie \u00een\u021beles este c\u0103 situa\u021bia este una critic\u0103 pentru Rusia. De fapt nu critic\u0103, ci de-a dreptul existen\u021bial\u0103. Dar pentru ceilal\u021bi?<\/p>\n

Dup\u0103 cum am spus, nici SUA nu se afl\u0103 \u00eentr-o pozi\u021bie perfect\u0103. \u0218i-a pierdut de mult puterea de a st\u0103p\u00e2ni dup\u0103 bunul s\u0103u plac, motiv pentru care acum \u00ee\u0219i joac\u0103 ultima carte \u00een Ucraina. Dac\u0103 va reu\u0219i s\u0103 \u00eenving\u0103 prin intermediul Ucrainei, \u00ee\u0219i va reveni c\u00e2t de c\u00e2t. Altfel va intra iremediabil pe derdelu\u0219ul c\u0103derii.<\/p>\n

Cu toate c\u0103 meciul pare jucat, situa\u021bia e \u00eenc\u00e2lcit\u0103. SUA e puterea degenerat\u0103, astfel \u00eenc\u00e2t e capabil\u0103 de orice. Este exact ca nebunul care are o arm\u0103 \u00een m\u00e2n\u0103. C\u0103 e capabil\u0103 de orice, pute\u021bi vedea limpede: pentru interesul s\u0103u – \u0219i strict pentru acest interes! – a b\u0103gat Europa \u00een \u00eentuneric, a dat foc Orientului \u0219i se preg\u0103te\u0219te s\u0103 detoneze bomba asiatic\u0103. Pentru a-\u0219i cre\u0219te relevan\u021ba economic\u0103 s-a apucat s\u0103 exploateze c\u00e2mpurile strategice, devenind primul produc\u0103tor de petrol al lumii. Arabia Saudit\u0103 e infinit mai chibzuit\u0103 cu resursele sale dec\u00e2t e acum SUA. Pentru a compensa lipsa gazelor de pe pia\u021ba mondial\u0103 a eliberat autoriza\u021bii de exploatare care au distrus efectiv mediul \u00een zonele locuite, transform\u00e2ndu-le \u00een de\u0219erturi chimice. Pentru a-\u0219i cre\u0219te relevan\u021ba pe pia\u021ba circuitelor integrate au for\u021bat produc\u0103torii principali s\u0103 vin\u0103 \u0219i s\u0103 produc\u0103 pe teritoriul SUA, \u00een condi\u021biile \u00een care pre\u021burile de acolo sunt de c\u00e2teva ori mai mari, iar m\u00e2na de lucru specializat\u0103 lipse\u0219te cu des\u0103v\u00e2r\u0219ire.<\/p>\n

Exemplele date cred c\u0103 sunt suficiente pentru a \u00een\u021belege c\u0103 puterea degenerat\u0103 nu dore\u0219te, \u00een nici un caz, s\u0103 plece \u00een lini\u0219te de la mas\u0103. \u00cen ceea ce prive\u0219te ajutorul acordat Ucrainei, a\u0219a cum am mai spus, acesta este doar un preambul. Cei 60 de miliarde de dolari pentru Ucraina au fost elibera\u021bi \u0219i cu OK-ul lui Trump. Nu \u0219tiu dac\u0103 a\u021bi aflat, dar trebuie s\u0103 \u0219ti\u021bi c\u0103 votul republicanilor a fost ob\u021binut dup\u0103 ce a avut loc o discu\u021bie \u00eentre Trump \u0219i Mike Johnson. De ce ar fi f\u0103cut Trump asta? Desigur, pentru c\u0103 a \u00een\u021beles c\u0103 SUA joac\u0103 la cacealma \u0219i trebuie s\u0103 mearg\u0103 mai departe.<\/p>\n

Acum vine partea tehnic\u0103. De ce a dat SUA banii? Cum bine \u0219tim, pozi\u021bia lor financiar\u0103 nu este deloc comod\u0103. S-au for\u021bat \u00eens\u0103 s\u0103 dea cei 60 miliarde pentru a lua ochii prostimii. \u00cen acela\u0219i timp au pasat legea care permite confiscarea activelor ruse\u0219ti. Pe Telegram v-am povestit c\u0103 nu-i vorba de o sum\u0103 semnificativ\u0103, doar vreo 6.5 mld. $ uita\u021bi de ru\u0219i prin SUA. Bani care pot fi recupera\u021bi din cei aproximativ 10 mld. $ investi\u021bii americane din Rusia. Oricum am da-o, chestiunea este marginal\u0103 pentru ambele p\u0103r\u021bi. Nici Rusia \u0219i nici SUA nu au sughi\u021buri pentru acele sume. \u00cens\u0103, totul e f\u0103cut pentru a avea un precedent. SUA a pasat acea reglementare pentru ca europenii s\u0103 fac\u0103 acela\u0219i lucru, adic\u0103 s\u0103 confi\u0219te cele peste 200 miliarde EUR active ruse\u0219ti aflate \u00een b\u0103ncile europene. Din ace\u0219ti bani viseaz\u0103 americanii c\u0103-\u0219i vor recupera investi\u021bia de p\u00e2n\u0103 acum (cca 120 mld. $) \u0219i, de asemenea, vor da de lucru industriei lor militare. Cu alte cuvinte, \u00eei \u00eemping \u0219i mai ad\u00e2nc pe europeni \u00een rahat pentru a-\u0219i reveni ei. Iar sclavii din Europa aflat\u0103 sub ocupa\u021bie vor executa ordinele \u00eentocmai.<\/p>\n

V\u0103 voi mai semnala c\u0103 Rusia e atacat\u0103 acum \u0219i dinspre Armenia unde, dup\u0103 ce a pierdut pozi\u021bia de men\u021binere a p\u0103cii \u00een Nagorno Karabah, i se vor face bagajele \u0219i din aceast\u0103 \u021bar\u0103. De asemenea, \u00eencercarea de explodare a situa\u021biei \u00een Georgia e tot un atac menit a sl\u0103bi Rusia. \u00cen paralel, americanii umbl\u0103 cu coada ridicat\u0103 pe la chinezi \u00eencerc\u00e2nd s\u0103-i determine s\u0103 o lase mai moale. Nu \u0219tiu exact cum vor reac\u021biona chinezii, dar de pozi\u021bia lor depinde ecua\u021bia \u00eentregii probleme din regiune. Din c\u00e2te \u0219tiu, exist\u0103 la ora actual\u0103 inclusiv lupt\u0103tori chinezi \u00een Ucraina, recruta\u021bi de ru\u0219i. Asta \u00eenseamn\u0103 c\u0103 China \u0219i-a dat acceptul, dar la fel de bine poate fi o adormire a vigilen\u021bei ruse\u0219ti.<\/p>\n

Ceea ce trebuie s\u0103 \u00een\u021belegem acum este c\u0103 cei \u0219aizeci de miliarde nu \u00eenseamn\u0103 mare lucru \u00een actuala economie a r\u0103zboiului. Dar, f\u0103r\u0103 doar \u0219i poate, av\u00e2nd \u00een vedere for\u021barea extraordinar\u0103 a SUA, e clar c\u0103 suntem \u00een fa\u021ba unui r\u0103zboi de exterminare. Sunt informa\u021bii care vorbesc despre o acumulare de peste 1000 de solda\u021bi francezi \u00een Odesa. De asemenea, Europa a accelerat livr\u0103rile de arme c\u0103tre Ucraina. Mai mult, toate ambasadele Occidentului refuz\u0103 s\u0103 mai ofere servicii consulare persoanelor \u00eencorporabile. A\u0219adar, ucrainenii r\u0103ma\u0219i captivi \u0219i-au luat adio de la posibilitatea emigr\u0103rii de acolo. \u0218i, a\u0219 spune eu, nici cei care se afl\u0103 acum pe teritoriul Uniunii Europene nu prea cred c\u0103 sunt \u00een siguran\u021b\u0103. Meciul, a\u0219adar, e pe fa\u021b\u0103.<\/p>\n

Nu mai e mult p\u00e2n\u0103 la dezl\u0103n\u021buirea final\u0103 \u0219i sunt ferm convins c\u0103 \u00een acest conflict puterea degenerat\u0103, \u0219tiind c\u0103 nu mai are nimic de pierdut, se va arunca cu tot arsenalul \u00eenainte. V-am spus despre punerea pe pozi\u021bie a arsenalului nuclear rus de pe submarine \u0219i de \u00eenc\u0103rcarea bombardierelor strategice ale SUA. A fost doar un exerci\u021biu, dar ar trebui s\u0103 v\u0103 obi\u0219nui\u021bi cu situa\u021bia. Nu am nici cea mai mic\u0103 \u00eendoial\u0103 c\u0103 \u00een scurt timp ne a\u0219teapt\u0103 un r\u0103zboi total \u0219i final. SUA e capabil\u0103 s\u0103-l \u00eenceap\u0103. Asta dac\u0103 nu apare vreo minune, dar de la neamul \u0103la degenerat nu m\u0103 mai pot a\u0219tepta la absolut nimic normal!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Un articol publicat de Dan Diaconu ini\u021bial pe trenduri.blogspot.com Pachetul de ajutorare a Ucrainei este doar un preambul. Cu toate c\u0103 e sup\u0103r\u0103tor, v\u0103 voi repeta faptul c\u0103 actualul conflict este unul existen\u021bial pentru cel pu\u021bin o putere mondial\u0103. La ora actual\u0103 avem trei puteri mondiale: SUA – liderul actual-, China – liderul \u00een ascensiune […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":2138,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[267,270,32,290,4],"tags":[1119,2130,677,2137,804,2140,2141,419,1028,549,1030,1481,126,2127,550,243,2131,2143,2134,309,2132,2139,813,820,21,1041,218,2125,2138,814,2142,2049,972,1881,105,2129,102,2126,420,104,216,917,2135,2136,214,99,2133],"class_list":["post-2137","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economie","category-externe","category-opinii","category-politica","category-stil_de_viata","tag-boris-eltin","tag-caderea-comunismului","tag-china","tag-circuite-integrate","tag-complexul-militar-industrial","tag-confiscarea-activelor-rusesti-din-sua","tag-confiscarea-activelor-rusesti-din-ue","tag-dan-diaconu","tag-dezmembrarea-urss","tag-donald-trump","tag-euro-maidan","tag-europa-de-est","tag-federatia-rusa","tag-finlanda","tag-george-soros","tag-georgia","tag-heartland","tag-independenta-taiwan","tag-leonid-kucima","tag-lovitura-de-stat","tag-mihail-hodorkovski","tag-mike-johnson","tag-nagorno-karabah","tag-nationalizare","tag-nato","tag-neutralitatea-militara-a-ucrainei","tag-odesa","tag-primul-razboi-din-cecenia","tag-putere-degenerata","tag-razboi-armenia-azerbaigian","tag-razboi-de-exterminare","tag-razboi-iugoslavia","tag-razboi-nuclear","tag-razboi-total","tag-razboi-ucraina","tag-revolutia-portocalie-de-la-kiev","tag-sua","tag-suedia","tag-trenduri-economice","tag-ucraina","tag-urss","tag-victoria-nuland","tag-viktor-ianukovici","tag-viktor-iuscenco","tag-vladimir-putin","tag-volodimir-zelenski","tag-yukos"],"yoast_head":"\nO situa\u021bie de \u0219aizeci de miliarde de ori mai complicat\u0103. 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