de Dan Diaconu<\/p>\n
https:\/\/trenduri.blogspot.com\/2024\/01\/noua-ordine-marilor-si-oceanelor.html<\/p>\n
Citesc un studiu chinezesc despre proiectarea puterii terestre asupra m\u0103rilor \u0219i oceanelor lumii. Materialul nu este unul secret, ci r\u0103sp\u00e2ndit pe anumite canale astfel \u00eenc\u00e2t s\u0103 se constituie ca un manifest al statului chinez, ca o declara\u021bie de inten\u021bie, menit\u0103 s\u0103 sar\u0103 \u00een ochii partenerilor din zona rela\u021biilor interna\u021bionale. Este pentru prima dat\u0103 c\u00e2nd un asemenea material r\u0103zbate \u00een zona semi-discret\u0103 \u0219i, cel mai probabil, \u00een scurt timp vom vedea inclusiv \u00een media oficial\u0103 \u201eecouri\u201d de-ale sale sub forma editorialelor sau \u201ecomentariilor interesante<\/i>\u201d.<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n
Ce se scrie \u00een materialul respectiv? Pe scurt, chinezii spun r\u0103spicat c\u0103 momentul \u00een care puterea maritim\u0103 \u00ee\u0219i putea proiecta for\u021ba pe uscat a fost dep\u0103\u0219it, \u00eentruc\u00e2t la ora actual\u0103 tehnologia a f\u0103cut posibil\u0103 inversarea paradigmei, respectiv proiectarea puterii terestre asupra apelor. Cu alte cuvinte, sus\u021bine materialul respectiv, este o nou\u0103 schimbare de paradigm\u0103, una \u00een care p\u0103m\u00e2ntul \u00ee\u0219i reia rolul central de \u201ecas\u0103 a omului\u201d, arunc\u00e2ndu-l pe pirat acolo unde-i e locul, anume la pu\u0219c\u0103ria pentru infractori.<\/p>\n
Citez din materialul respectiv: \u201enoua tehnologie este mai ieftin\u0103, optim\u0103 din punctul de vedere al consumului energetic \u0219i mult mai eficient\u0103, mai prompt\u0103 din punct de vedere a\u0219 timpului de r\u0103spuns. Este pentru prima dat\u0103 \u00een istorie c\u00e2nd securitatea m\u0103rilor \u0219i oceanelor poate fi asigurat\u0103 prin intermediul unor sisteme tehnologice eficiente, av\u00e2nd baza terestr\u0103 \u00een punctele cheie<\/i>\u201d. Despre ce e vorba? Dac\u0103 ai o zon\u0103 cu turbulen\u021be, nu mai e nevoie s\u0103 desf\u0103\u0219ori o flot\u0103 acolo pentru a rezolva problemele, ci, pur \u0219i simplu, de la sol pot fi trimise elemente ale tehnologie moderne care s\u0103 restabileasc\u0103 lini\u0219tea. Dar care sunt aceste elemente?<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n
Dronele \u0219i tehnologia hipersonic\u0103 sunt elemente esen\u021biale ale noului sistem de putere. Dronele ieftine, integrate \u00eentr-un sistem de tip roi, devin arme deosebit de sofisticate, av\u00e2nd o inteligen\u021b\u0103 proprie pe c\u00e2mpul de conflict astfel \u00eenc\u00e2t sunt imposibil de \u00eenvins. Roiul de drone ac\u021bioneaz\u0103 ca un sistem, are stocat\u0103 \u00een baza comun\u0103 de date detaliile \u021bintelor, tipul de echipamente care trebuie neutralizate \u0219i tactici necesare asigur\u0103rii succesului misiunii. De asemenea, \u00een func\u021bie de existen\u021ba unor \u201esurprize\u201d la fa\u021ba locului, roiul \u00ee\u0219i poate adapta autonom strategia \u00een vederea asigur\u0103rii succesului misiunii.<\/i><\/p><\/blockquote>\n
<\/p>\n
Spre deosebire de deplasarea unei energofage nave de secol XX, care are nevoie de mai multe alte nave, de submarine \u0219i protec\u021bie aerian\u0103 pentru asigurarea propriei securit\u0103\u021bi, sistemele de azi au avantajul c\u0103 pot ajunge \u00een timp real la locul incidentului \u0219i pot neutraliza efectiv problema. Poate v\u0103 \u00eentreba\u021bi dac\u0103 \u00eentr-adev\u0103r a\u0219a ceva e posibil acum sau e vorba de ceva SF \u00een materialul respectiv. Ia s\u0103 vedem:<\/p>\n
Pe m\u0103sur\u0103 ce rachetele devin mai ieftin de produs, dronele cresc \u00een complexitate. Cele dou\u0103 tehnologii\u00a0 \u00ee\u0219i \u00eemprumut\u0103 reciproc din caracteristici astfel \u00eenc\u00e2t acum diferen\u021bele dintre ele sunt minore. Realizarea sinergiei dintre cele dou\u0103 tehnologii face ca acum s\u0103 avem un salt fa\u021b\u0103 de epoca R\u0103zboiului Rece. Dac\u0103 pe atunci rachetele erau arme oarbe, ghidate de la lansare, acum elementul de inteligen\u021b\u0103 ad\u0103ugat\u0103 transform\u0103 radical paradigma. Iar tehnologia roiului, transform\u0103 dronele \u0219i rachetele \u00eentr-o re\u021bea \u201esenzorial\u0103\u201d, beneficiind de informa\u021bii \u00een timp real, av\u00e2nd capacitatea de a le procesa \u0219i de a se adapta realit\u0103\u021bilor din teren.<\/i><\/p><\/blockquote>\n
Exist\u0103 nou\u0103 puncte strategice \u00een controlul traficului interna\u021bional: Canalul Panama, Str\u00e2mtoarea Gibraltar, Capul Bunei Speran\u021be, Str\u00e2mtoarea Bosfor, Canalul Suez, Marea Ro\u0219ie, Str\u00e2mtoarea Ormuz \u0219i Str\u00e2mtoarea Malacca. Absolut toate aceste puncte majore sunt situate \u00een zona imediat\u0103 a uscatului(doar toate sunt str\u00e2mtori \u0219i canale navigabile!). E limpede pentru oricine c\u0103 apropierea uscatului face efectiv nerentabil\u0103 vechea paradigm\u0103 a asigur\u0103rii securit\u0103\u021bii prin intermediul tehnologiilor greoaie ale secolului XX.<\/p>\n
Conform materialului chinezesc, \u00een locul proiect\u0103rii puterii maritime asupra uscatului, acum uscatul \u00ee\u0219i poate proiecta puterea cu u\u0219urin\u021b\u0103 asupra m\u0103rilor, prin intermediul tehnologiilor simple \u0219i eficiente ale prezentului. Incidentele actuale din Marea Ro\u0219ie sunt, conform aceluia\u0219i material, elemente care arat\u0103 c\u0103 deja tranzi\u021bia a \u00eenceput. Faptul c\u0103 o putere minor\u0103 – reprezentat\u0103 de rebelii Houthi – a reu\u0219it s\u0103 dea \u0219ah coali\u021biei navale a SUA, determin\u00e2nd marii juc\u0103tori de pe pia\u021ba transportului maritim s\u0103 reia traseul pe la Capul Bunei Speran\u021be, arat\u0103 limpede c\u0103 puterilor m\u0103rii li se reduce capacitatea de a afecta destinele terestre.<\/p>\n
Materialul \u00een sine e deosebit de interesant \u0219i ne arat\u0103 cum China \u00eencearc\u0103 s\u0103-\u0219i proiecteze puterea prin deschiderea unor baze militare \u00een apropierea c\u00e2t mai multor puncte nevralgice ale\u00a0\u201echeckpoint\u201d<\/i>-urilor navale deoarece dispun de tehnologia necesar\u0103 asigur\u0103rii securit\u0103\u021bii de acolo. \u0218i abia acum \u00een\u021belegem, nervozitatea americanilor \u00een ceea ce prive\u0219te construc\u021bia bazelor militare chineze\u0219ti din Marea Chinei de Sud. Cu toate c\u0103 acum SUA \u00eencalc\u0103 legisla\u021bia interna\u021bional\u0103 prin violarea evident\u0103 a demarca\u021biei apelor teritoriale ale Chinei, de la un anumit moment ceea ce fac acum nu va mai fi posibil deoarece vor fi comb\u0103tu\u021bi activ de noile tehnologii de \u201easigurare a ordinii maritime\u201d.<\/p>\n
E foarte interesant c\u0103 apari\u021bia materialului vine \u00eentr-un moment de turbulen\u021b\u0103(vezi evenimentele din Marea Ro\u0219ie), dublat de unul de importan\u021b\u0103 strategic\u0103 deosebit\u0103. \u00cen timp ce chinezii demonstreaz\u0103 c\u0103 epoca \u201easigur\u0103rii securit\u0103\u021bii transportului interna\u021bional de m\u0103rfuri\u201d de c\u0103tre puterea hegemonic\u0103 a SUA a apus, a ap\u0103rut o nou\u0103 cale navigabil\u0103 care ocole\u0219te toate \u201epunctele nevralgice ale planetei\u201d \u0219i care scurteaz\u0103 comer\u021bul Asia-Europa. Este vorba de \u201eDrumul Ghe\u021bii\u201d inaugurat de Rusia, care promite nu doar navigabilitate pe tot timpul anului, ci \u0219i securitate \u0219i rapiditate \u00eembun\u0103t\u0103\u021bite. E foarte interesant de v\u0103zut c\u0103 noua cale navigabil\u0103 apare \u201ela momentul potrivit\u201d de parc\u0103 ru\u0219ii ar fi manevrat ni\u0219te baghete magice. Transportul interna\u021bional naval se afl\u0103 \u00eentr-un teribil impas din cauza \u00eenghesuirii problemelor de diverse naturi, astfel \u00eenc\u00e2t suntem \u00eentr-un adev\u0103rat haos. Despre problemele din Marea Ro\u0219ie \u0219ti\u021bi, dar acelea nu sunt singurele. Canalul Panama e afectat de secet\u0103, astfel \u00eenc\u00e2t din noiembrie este permis\u0103 trecerea a doar 20 de nave pe zi!<\/p>\n
Cum stau treburile \u00een ceea ce prive\u0219te noul proiect navigabil controlat de ru\u0219i? Extrem de bine: timpul de transfer al m\u0103rfurilor din Asia \u00een Europa se face prin culoarul nordic \u00een doar 19 zile, \u00een timp ce prin Canalul Suez dureaz\u0103 … 48 de zile!!! Interesant, nu-i a\u0219a? Iat\u0103 de ce cre\u0219te nervozitatea \u00een ceea ce prive\u0219te exploatarea Polului Nord: acesta se transform\u0103 \u00eentr-un punct esen\u021bial de\u00a0tranzit, iar ru\u0219ii au aici partea leului. \u0218tia\u021bi c\u0103 punctul nodal al acestei c\u0103i este noul port din Peninsula Taim\u00eer pentru care Rusia investe\u0219te … peste 100 mld. $?<\/p>\n
Dac\u0103 vre\u021bi, noua cale navigabil\u0103 este un alt element al proiec\u021biei puterii terestre asupra m\u0103rilor \u0219i oceanelor. E doar \u00eenceputul! Proiectul \u201eBelt and Road\u201d, proiectul \u201eCoridorul Nord-Sud\u201d, proiectul TAPI s.am.d. reprezint\u0103 elemente ale unei infrastructuri a viitorului \u00een care calea maritim\u0103 va reprezenta doar o prelungire natural\u0103 a c\u0103ii terestre. E o ampl\u0103 schimbare de paradigm\u0103. Totul se schim\u0103: iat\u0103 refrenului anului pe care tocmai l-am \u00eenceput.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
de Dan Diaconu https:\/\/trenduri.blogspot.com\/2024\/01\/noua-ordine-marilor-si-oceanelor.html Citesc un studiu chinezesc despre proiectarea puterii terestre asupra m\u0103rilor \u0219i oceanelor lumii. Materialul nu este unul secret, ci r\u0103sp\u00e2ndit pe anumite canale astfel \u00eenc\u00e2t s\u0103 se constituie ca un manifest al statului chinez, ca o declara\u021bie de inten\u021bie, menit\u0103 s\u0103 sar\u0103 \u00een ochii partenerilor din zona rela\u021biilor interna\u021bionale. Este pentru […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":990,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[32],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-989","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-opinii"],"yoast_head":"\n
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Materialul nu este unul secret, ci r\u0103sp\u00e2ndit pe anumite canale astfel \u00eenc\u00e2t s\u0103 se constituie ca un manifest al statului chinez, ca o declara\u021bie de inten\u021bie, menit\u0103 s\u0103 sar\u0103 \u00een ochii partenerilor din zona rela\u021biilor interna\u021bionale. 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